As we continue through the Western Conference Finals, we will be breaking down game four between the Oklahoma City Thunder and the Minnesota Timberwolves. Let’s not waste any more time and jump right into some of our favorite picks for 5/26.
Monday’s Top 5 NBA Playoffs Picks
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Minnesota Timberwolves M/L First Half ( +110)
We’re kicking things off in Minnesota, where the Timberwolves showed they are not willing to let a 2-0 deficit dampen their confidence by smashing OKC to the tune of 42 points in game three on Saturday. While the Thunder may have revenge on their mind for this contest, recent history gives us a small window on some plus action, so we will try to take advantage.
The Timberwolves have won the first half in each of the previous four contests when playing at home as underdogs. Oklahoma City is conceding over 58 points at halftime in the last six road games, while only putting up 51.8 of their own.
Minnesota is averaging 56.0 points at the half when playing on their home floor over the course of the 2024-25 Playoffs. The Timberwolves are only allowing 47.8 points at the halftime mark in the last six home games.
Minnesota has been relentless on the defensive end for the first 24 minutes of gameplay at the Target Center during these playoffs. Give us the positive return on the Wolves having the lead going into the second half.
Minnesota Timberwolves +3 (-112)
Minnesota returned to form over the weekend and very quickly dispatched any notions the Thunder may have had of going up 3-0 in this series. While Oklahoma City will have their sights set on revenge, the Timberwolves will direct their focus solely on evening things up at two wins apiece.
Minnesota has lost one game out of six played at home in the 2024-25 Playoffs. The Wolves have won three consecutive contests on their floor, while only conceding 103.3 points per game to opponents. Whereas on the offensive side of the ball, Minnesota is scoring over 118 points when hosting the previous six playoff games.
Oklahoma City has failed to cover the spread in each of their last six road games. The Thunder are only scoring 105.8 points over that span, while shooting a horrific 41.7% from the field. We wouldn’t fault you for taking the plus action on the Wolves winning outright. However, to play it safe, we will favor the +3 points.
Enjoy the game tonight, and best of luck with your picks!
